This week, picking looks to be a little easier with what appears to be the tremendously undervalued “Trainwreck”, priced at FB$152 despite estimates of a $30M opening weekend, putting it at Estimated Gross Box Office $ Per $FB of 197.4. That’s easily highest of the week and given that some brilliant writer thought, “What if I wrote a ‘When Harry Met Sally’-esque chick flick but cast Lebron James in Bruno Kirby’s part as the guy best friend?” it has good upside potential since it has something for everyone potentially interested in an R-rated comedy.
With the combination of films at our disposal this week, there are 3759 valid combinations. Given the huge value of “Trainwreck”, my nerdy bin packing Monte Carlo simulator didn’t see any top rated combinations where using “Ant-Man” (FB$473) or even last week’s box office winner “Minions” (FB$450) at all. In fact, all top 18 selections of mine involve 6x “Trainwreck”. From there, you’re really just nuancing to fill in the remaining FB$88 across two slots that leaves you.
Here are my picks this week:
1) Both “Jurassic World” (FB$69) and “Inside Out” (FB$63) fit nicely in that remaining FB$88. For my top pick, “Jurassic World” has been declining more slowly so it gets the slot here. I would usually hate to put in a movie as poorly reviewed as “Ted 2” (FB$18) but with the remaining FB$19 it’ll likely do better than something like “San Andreas” (FB$5) or even “Spy” (FB$12).
3) If you think “Inside Out” will slide less than “Jurassic Park”, despite a second week of “Minions”, try this instead.
Wildcard) If you don’t want to go all in on “Trainwreck”, here’s the best lineup my analysis came up with that includes “Minions”:
Happy movie going!